Rome, May 3 (LaPresse) – In the next ten years, the working-age population in Italy is expected to decrease by nearly 3 million people (precisely 2,908,000), representing a 7.8% reduction. The analysis was conducted by CGIA’s Research Office, based on ISTAT demographic forecasts.
At the beginning of 2025, the demographic group included 37.3 million people; by 2035, it is projected to fall to 34.4 million. This decline is largely due to the progressive aging of the population: with fewer young people and a large number of baby boomers nearing retirement age, Italy risks a dramatic reduction in its employable demographic cohort.
CGIA emphasizes that all 107 Italian provinces examined in the study are expected to experience a negative absolute variation over the next decade, indicating that the phenomenon will affect every area of the country.
When demographic decline is combined with geopolitical instability, the energy transition, and the digital transformation, businesses are likely to face highly concerning challenges in the years ahead. The difficulty in finding young workers for artisan, commercial, or industrial roles is already a serious issue—and is only expected to worsen.
Those hoping for a reversal of the demographic trend may be disappointed, as there are currently no effective measures that could realistically reverse the decline in a short time. Moreover, relying on foreign labor will not be enough to resolve the situation. As a result, a gradual slowdown of GDP should be anticipated.
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